Winky makes great point on college teasers

[raiders72001]

Winky" Fezzik!!!!!!!
In one of your next articles - can you do it on a subject that a great many people here should pay attention to:

Teasing CFB games - and how truly terrible a play it is

i can't take it any more. i can only post so many times how dumb the play is - so maybe you can help me out and do an article on how awful it is to do this - and then MAYBE someone will listen.

doubt it - but i can hope!"
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Raiders :I've also written about this a couple of time and you should never play teasers in college football. There is no scenerio where it's profitable.

But for the same reason that teasers are a bad bet in college football pleasers can be profitable especially in situations where lines are high.

Pleasers are bad bets in the NFL though. You should be getting +900 for a two team pleaser in the NFL and the book nornally pays +600.

 

[EveryGamblersDream]

I disagree with winky in regards to teasers in cfb. Teasers are quite profitable in 1AA-II-III action where the lines can be quite sharp & fall very close to the #.

 

[raiders72001]

Interesting angle- I don't play small colleges so have no opinion on that.

 

[EveryGamblersDream]

I do agree with him somewhat about regular 1A teasers. I think they are a good weapon to have in your arsenal. The main problem is people are guilty of teasing the "obvious" small favorites.

The games where a team looks like a lock & they are laying under 2 td's. Michigan vs Notre Dame would be a good example. Purdue when it opened at -7 vs Penn State would be an obvious game where they would tease it down to Purdue at a PK.

I think the reason why most lose with teasers is because they look to tease the "obvious" & don't like to look at the less attractive sides. One last thing I think alot of people make the mistake on is they are not paying attention to key #'s as they will tease to bad #'s like a -3.5, -7.5 etc.....

 

[raiders72001]

I think the big reason that teasers are so bad in college is that there's more scoring in college making 7 points more significant in the NFL than in college. In the NFL you have totals of 34, 35, 37. In the NCAA you have totals in the 50s and 60s. The clock stops on first downs in college allowing teams to get more plays in the similar amount of football time.

 

[EveryGamblersDream]

Those are excellent points.

 

[jwunderdog]

EGD , I find it very hard to believe 1AA has sharper #s but I don't follow it. Still Winky makes a very good point, the standard Deviation off the # has to be much higher in college football that in itself tells you it is a risky prop at best to play teasers.Real proof would be what the standard Deviation is in college football and I don't have those #s, Maybe Fezz does?

 

[EveryGamblersDream]

I at times don't believe it myself but of all the sports I bet, maybe other then the WNBA, I've never had so many losses within a certain point range, especially under 4 points to the #.